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DOGE reclaims daily open but the weekly open at $0.1125 is where the real test begins

DOGE TA
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Dogecoin has risen 2.79 percent in the 4-hour period as of the 13th of May and is currently priced at $0.11302; the overall 24 hour volume across all exchanges is $1.94B which is approximately 11.1 percent of the $17.38B market cap, which turns over within 24 hours. 

It’s currently trading within two significant reference levels: just above the daily open at $0.1102 and below the weekly open around $0.1125. The developments that take place within that 3.3 percent range over the coming trading sessions should have more importance to it than the daily candle itself.

The demand zone that defined the current month

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Source: Tradingview

If we consider the most structurally important thing on the chart, it is the green demand zone that extends from the level of $0.100 to $0.102. The asset has now entered the zone roughly from the start of this month following a large rejection of the early May highs at around $0.1172. The zone bounced the price higher. The price came back and retested the zone from Monday, dipping to $0.10808 on the recent leg lower preceding the current price bounce.

Two tests of the same demand zone, both holding with increasingly higher bounces on them, are a valid scenario to pay attention to. This zone is now very clear and it has been tested; the traders now know it exists and is relevant. Monthly open is just over the top of this zone at $0.1068; it is the bottom of the range that the asset is trading in at the moment.

The point here isn’t that the zone was there to hold it; the point is that every single test into that area went less deep than the one before. The first into $0.10 was a clean drop. The second came to $0.10808 and did not touch the lower boundary of the zone again. That is compression and that drives the probability distribution to the upside, for now at least.

The $0.1125 weekly open: the real resistance

The price is only 0.7 percent away from making back the day’s open at $0.11302. However, the structurally significant level is the weekly open near $0.1125. The chart from May 7 to May 11, we saw the price rally to the high of $0.114 and twice get rejected near the weekly open. On both rejections we saw increased wicks with well-organized selling into the level. The current rally is nearing that level for a third time.

Another third rejection for resistance has a likelihood of one of two outcomes: it’s just a test where the sellers are out of power and the price moves through it, or it’s the third rejection and it’s more aggressive than the prior two, indicating a lower high is forming. How this will play out will likely depend on the volume. The current 4-hour candle registered 248.57M USDT in volume with a 2.79 percent move in price, this is an acceptable impulse but it must be confirmed through the weekly open and not toward it.

The yearly open: the objective above

The yearly open, above the weekly open, stands at roughly $0.1180, DOGE’s most significant macro-reference in 2026. Was touched briefly in early May, as it appears that the chart wicked above $0.1160 at about May 4-5; however, it was swiftly rejected.

Price hasn’t been able to close above the yearly open since then and what that itself says has value to digest. An asset that is unable to reclaim the yearly open on its third consecutive weekly attempt is indicating a balance of supply and demand at this price. A yearly open is not a technical line on the chart; rather, it’s the total cost average for all those who entered since January 1st and are still holding the positions. A decisive reclaim flips a large portion of the market from a loss to a profit.

The annual open at $0.118 is around 4.4 percent above the present price of $0.11302. Relative to DOGE’s daily range $0.11006 – $0.11266, it could certainly reach $0.118 within one trading session if the bid side continues to exert sufficient force (today’s intraday high $0.11472). The question will be if weekly open checks clear before then.

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